Trend · rank 121 of 250

Digital sovereignty & data localisation

Dependence on foreign providers for cloud, models, compute and standards is prompting localisation rules and investment that bring data and computing under national jurisdiction, at a cost in scale, interoperability and conflicting legal obligations.

Critical TechnologyAI, compute & quantumdata governancegeoeconomicscompute

Second pass: Carried forward from the first pass unchanged. Held by all three panel models.

Attention over three years

How much this trend is read about on Wikipedia and searched for on Google, week by week, set against the typical trend in the list so that what moves every trend at once is taken out. 100 is this trend's own three-year average. The score measures public attention, which is not the same as the strength of the force: a trend can deepen unnoticed, and a news event can lift attention for a fortnight.

Now: 188
Over a year: +55%Surging
Over three years: +255%
Peak: 23828 Jun 2026
Sources: Bothagreement 0.90
Coverage: 3languages · 56 nations

Trailing 4-week average. 100 is this trend’s three-year average.

By language

Wikipedia reading in each language edition where the trend’s pages are read enough to measure (3 of 28). Share is of all the readers counted.

Language	Share	Now	Over a year
English	54%	247	+200%
German	31%	149	+29%
French	15%	126	+27%

By country

Google search interest over the three years, as a share of each country’s searching. 100 is the nation where interest is highest. The search terms are English, which favours countries that search in English.

Singapore

South Korea

China

New Zealand

Netherlands

Australia

United Arab Emirates

United States

Canada

Switzerland

United Kingdom

Germany

100

The 12 highest of 56 nations with a reading.

By region and G20 member

Attention to this trend inside each place, from Google searches made in its countries and Wikipedia reading in the languages mostly read there, averaged where both exist. Each line compares the trend with its own past in that place; the lines do not compare places.

Regions

Place	Read from	Now	90 days	1 year	3 years
North America	Google in 2 countries + Wikipedia in English	211	−4%	+108%	+356%
Europe	Google in 3 countries + Wikipedia in German, French	155	−28%	+48%	+268%
Indo-Pacific	Google in 4 countries	181	−16%	+46%	+181%
South Asia	Google in 1 country	129	−42%	+25%	+171%

G20 members

Place	Read from	Now	90 days	1 year	3 years
Australia	Google	145	−37%	+30%	+168%
Canada	Google	194	−27%	+78%	+1163%
France	Google + Wikipedia in French	126	−39%	+35%	+98%
Germany	Google + Wikipedia in German	149	−33%	+31%	+343%
India	Google	129	−42%	+25%	+171%
Indonesia	Google	159	−26%	+147%	+55%
South Korea	Google	169	−34%	−37%	0%
United Kingdom	Google	240	−12%	+134%	+2029%
United States	Google + Wikipedia in English	208	−5%	+101%	+328%

Relation to each scenario

A trend relates to a scenario when it changes how likely the scenario is, how hard it lands, or is itself sharply changed by it. Each score is the median of three scores given separately by the members of the model panel.

Relation	Scenario	Family
3 · Moderate	A public service platform reaches inclusive operation S18 ↗	Technology and infrastructure
2 · Low	Critical trade divides into rival blocs S01	Economic and trade
2 · Low	Hybrid coercion ends in an infrastructure blackout S04	Geopolitical and security
2 · Low	A cross-regional market access compact redirects investment S12 ↗	Economic and trade
1 · Very low	An AI deployment step causes abrupt labour displacement S08	Technology and infrastructure
1 · Very low	A cryptographic breakthrough invalidates digital trust S09	Technology and infrastructure
1 · Very low	A great-power agreement lowers economic security barriers S13 ↗	Geopolitical and security
1 · Very low	A live outbreak proves rapid distributed pandemic defence S20 ↗	Health
0 · Not related	A global funding seizure reaches sovereign balance sheets S02	Economic and trade
0 · Not related	A regional war closes a globally important sea route S03	Geopolitical and security
0 · Not related	A disputed transfer of power breaks effective government S05	Geopolitical and security
0 · Not related	Two breadbasket failures trigger a food availability crisis S06	Energy, climate and resources
0 · Not related	A major disaster disables the national economic core S07	Energy, climate and resources
0 · Not related	A novel respiratory pathogen exceeds health surge capacity S10	Health
0 · Not related	A creditor agreement releases fiscal capacity S11 ↗	Economic and trade
0 · Not related	A verified Middle East settlement restores access S14 ↗	Geopolitical and security
0 · Not related	Cheap firm clean power becomes available at scale S15 ↗	Energy, climate and resources
0 · Not related	A validated farming package raises water-efficient output S16 ↗	Energy, climate and resources
0 · Not related	AI-directed research produces a reproducible discovery step S17 ↗	Technology and infrastructure
0 · Not related	Affordable preventive treatments reduce chronic illness S19 ↗	Health

Similarity = 0.3 × shared tags (Jaccard) + 0.3 × likeness of scenario profiles (cosine) + 0.3 × likeness of names and descriptions (TF-IDF cosine) + 0.1 if in the same capability domain, cut into seven levels at 0.12, 0.22, 0.33, 0.45, 0.58, 0.72. Shown at Moderate and above.

Similarity	Trend	Theme	Rank
3 · Moderate	Data protection & digital rights	State capacity & governance	44
3 · Moderate	Technical standards competition	Diplomacy & influence	50
3 · Moderate	AI chips & accelerator supply	AI, compute & quantum	111
3 · Moderate	Lithography & chip-tool chokepoints	Trade, industry & supply chains	120
3 · Moderate	Cloud & edge computing	AI, compute & quantum	124
3 · Moderate	Open-weight AI diffusion	AI, compute & quantum	149
3 · Moderate	Biometric identification	State capacity & governance	213